Risk warning: spread bets are leveraged products — most retail accounts lose money.
CH. 10 OF 11 · PART II
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THE CRAFT · CHAPTER NINETEEN

Spread betting on commodities

Commodities — gold, oil, natural gas, coffee, copper — offer diversification from equities and some of the most dramatic trends in any market. They also have quirks that catch beginners.

5% / 10%margin: gold / most others
Up to 20:1retail leverage on gold
Futurespricing carries expiry & curve
Lumpyvolatility clusters around events

How it works

You stake per point on the commodity's price. FCA retail margins are 5% for gold and 10% for most other commodities. Pricing is usually based on futures contracts, which means two things to understand: expiry (quarterly bets roll or expire) and contango/backwardation (the futures curve can drift against a long-held position even when the spot headline barely moves).

FIG. 1spot (today)+3 months+6 months+9 monthscontangobackwardationspotfutures above spot — rolls drag on longsfutures below spot — rolls help longs
Why a long-held commodity bet can bleed while the headline price goes nowhere: rolling bets follow the curve, not the spot.

What to watch

Oil reacts to OPEC decisions, inventories and geopolitics; gold to real interest rates and the dollar; agricultural markets to weather. Volatility is lumpy — quiet weeks punctuated by violent sessions — so stakes that feel comfortable in calm markets can be oversized when the move arrives.

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